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Land Governance and Flood Resilience in Greater Jakarta, a Spatial Study

Polycentric spatial land governance serves as the foundation for mitigating chronic hydrological vulnerabilities across complex metropolitan catchments. Institutional fragmentation between upstream spatial zoning and downstream flood containment continues to undermine structural mitigation efforts in transboundary river networks. Aligning statutory land use planning with spatial retention mechanisms provides a strategic pathway toward long-term urban flood resilience.

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PhD Dissertation

Degree:
Land Governance and Flood Resilience in Greater Jakarta, a Spatial Study

Author:

Group

First M. Last

Advisor:

Dr. First Last

City, 2026

Contents

Lembar Pengesahan
Abstract
Abstract
Kata Pengantar
Introduction
1.1 Background of Spatial Vulnerability and Land Dynamics in Greater Jakarta
1.2 Problem Formulation on Upstream-Downstream Institutional Fragmentation
1.3 Research Questions and Objectives
1.4 Theoretical and Practical Significance of Spatial Water Governance
BAB II: Kajian Pustaka
2.1 Spatial Flood Risk Management and Catchment-Scale Dynamics
2.2 Land Governance Frameworks and Spatial Planning Instruments
2.3 Urban Morphology, Land Subsidence, and Hydraulic Exposure
2.4 Transboundary River Basin Governance in Megacities
BAB III: Kerangka Konseptual
3.1 Theoretical Synthesis of Polycentric Governance and Resilience
3.2 Spatial-Institutional Interaction Model for the Megacity Region
3.3 Operational Hypothesis on Land Control and Flood Attenuation
Methodology
4.1 Spatial Multi-Criteria Corpus and Cartographic Analytical Design
4.2 Policy Inconsistency Assessment Protocol for Spatial Plans (RTRW)
4.3 Geospatial and Institutional Indicator Synthesis
4.4 Scope Boundaries and Methodological Limitations
BAB V: Hasil Penelitian
Analysis
5.2 Spatial Distribution of Subsidence, Runoff Accumulation, and Exposure
5.3 Evaluation of Plan Inconsistencies Across Administrative Tiers
BAB VI: Pembahasan
6.1 Institutional Barriers to Cross-Jurisdictional Catchment Retention
6.2 Private Land Tenures and Public Zoning Compliance Gaps
6.3 Pathways for Polycentric Spatial Governance Integration
Analysis
7.2 Policy Recommendations for Regional Spatial Planning Authorities
7.3 Future Spatial Modelling Research Trajectories
Conclusion
Bibliography

Introduction

Rapid land conversion across the upstream-downstream continuum of Greater Jakarta has systematically compromised the hydrological buffering capacities of critical catchment corridors [1][5]. Uncontrolled urban built-up expansion across the Ciliwung and Cisadane river basins diminishes natural water absorption zones while intensifying downstream runoff accumulation and localized inundation hazards [5][7]. When compounded by acute coastal and inland subsidence dynamics across northern lowlands, spatial exposure transforms seasonal meteorological events into recurring catastrophic flood disasters [7][8].

Conventional mitigation frameworks in the metropolitan region have historically prioritized hard hydraulic engineering structures over integrated spatial land governance mechanisms [4][5]. Administrative fragmentation between regional authorities, municipal governments, and sectoral planning agencies creates severe enforcement discrepancies within statutory spatial plans (RTRW) [5][7]. Upstream zoning violations proceed largely detached from downstream retention requirements, leaving private and public land developments misaligned with broader basin-wide hydrological resilience objectives [2][5].

Bridging these structural governance deficiencies requires a rigorous spatial-institutional synthesis capable of evaluating the spatial interdependence between statutory land zoning, morphological sprawl, and hazard mitigation [1][3][7]. Examining how cross-jurisdictional decision-making processes interact with multi-scale geospatial indicators is essential for transitioning from disjointed reactive measures to proactive polycentric basin governance [3][5][7]. Such an analysis provides clear empirical diagnostics regarding the institutional bottlenecks that currently impede sustainable water retention and adaptive land management across transboundary river networks [5][7].

This spatial investigation evaluates the operational alignment between land administration instruments, urban form dynamics, and flood vulnerability across Greater Jakarta [1][5][8]. By integrating multi-source cartographic datasets, regional spatial planning inconsistencies, and basin-level institutional frameworks, the study advances actionable insights into spatial flood governance [3][5][7]. The resulting empirical and theoretical synthesis equips regional spatial planning bodies with transferable spatial strategies to strengthen long-term urban resilience against accelerating environmental stresses [1][7][8].

4.2 Policy Inconsistency Assessment Protocol for Spatial Plans (RTRW)

The methodological architecture for evaluating statutory spatial planning inconsistencies utilizes a multi-scalar geospatial concordance protocol designed to reconcile upstream land allocations with downstream hydrological parameters. Evaluating statutory plans (Rencana Tata Ruang Wilayah) across administrative boundaries requires systematically cross-referencing spatial zoning designations against watershed-scale retention requirements (Urban Water Governance Through the Watershed Spatial Institutional Approach, 2020). This methodological framework pairs spatial overlay analyses with institutional boundary diagnostics to detect zones where local development permits contradict strategic catchment retention goals (Introduction to Spatial Flood Risk Management, 2022). By operationalizing collaborative spatial decision-making protocols, the analytical matrix translates qualitative zoning stipulations and transboundary catchment metrics into structured spatial layers (Collaborative Spatial Decision Making Empowering Urban Flood Governance Toward City Resilience, 2025). Spatial discrepancies are quantified by measuring divergence between designated water retention envelopes and actual municipal zoning classes across administrative tiers. This spatial-institutional protocol ensures that statutory inconsistencies are captured not merely as isolated administrative divergences, but as cumulative spatial pressures that aggregate runoff across interconnected downstream catchments. Consequently, the multi-tiered assessment operationalizes a replicable diagnostic tool for evaluating transboundary land governance fidelity without relying on unverified empirical claims or static jurisdictional boundaries.

References

  1. A geospatial modelling approach to assess flood risk under future scenarios of urban form
    Burke, Richard, Xing, Jin, Ford, Alistair et al.
    Tautan DOI
  2. Introduction to Spatial Flood Risk Management: Implementing Catchment-based Retention and Resilience on Private Land
    Thomas Hartmann, Lenka Slavíková, Mark E. Wilkinson
    Tautan DOI
  3. Collaborative spatial decision making empowering urban flood governance toward city resilience
    Ahmad Radmehr
    Tautan DOI
  4. From Levees to Flood Insurance: The Spatial Turn in US Flood Governance
    Emmy Bergsma
  5. Urban Water Governance Through the Watershed Spatial Institutional Approach
    Ianah Ianah, Hariadi Kartodihardjo, J. Purwanto et al.
  6. Institutional Diagnostics and Adaptive Governance for Spate Irrigation Resilience in Eritrea's Wadi Laba Catchment
    Habte, Amanuel, Yohannes, Saba, Tekeste, Meron et al.
  7. A Conceptual Framework for Flood Impact Mitigation Through Transboundary River Management
    Georgina Clegg, Richard Haigh, Dilanthi Amaratunga et al.
  8. Jakarta Sinking City
    Shabrina, Zahratu, Muharram, Fajrun Wahidil, Dhirgantara Putra, Dekka et al.

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